What are the odds that the Razr HD will be $300?

[Jmoore1701]

OK, let's factor out the unlimited data issue for a minute. My real choice for upgrade this summer is between the Droid Razr HD and the Galaxy SIII. We know the SGS3 will be $200 / $250. So what are the odds that the Razr HD will be $300? Given Verizon's history with new Droids, I'm thinking the probability is 100%.
Even though I love my Droid X, and want to stay in the Droid family, I won't be inclined to buy a $300 phone, even a flagship, if there's a $200 one sitting right next to it. I know the Razr's specs are only rumored at this point, but all the rumors point to a smaller screen than the SGS3.
My main criteria for an upgrade is a bigger screen than the DX's 4.3, ICS, and the ability to support the Long Term Evolution of my usage (pardon the pun)--that is, over the next 2 years, I expect new apps to come out, and I want the phone that's best prepared to handle them.
So my question is twofold: Will the Razr HD be $300? ...and if so, will it be worth the price difference over the SGS3?

 

[IN AWE]

100%

 

[Ubi]

Not high if they are really going to compete with the SGSIII (Which EVERYONE is having to at this point and so of course Moto is going to have to as well) . My guess is 299.99 with a rebate (if they are on the nuttier side) or 249.99 and 199.99, if they do a 16/32 gig thing and go fully side by side with Sammy. Verizon would murder Motorola if they were to price this thing any higher than the SGSIII's price tag and we all know how in love they are with Moto.
Personally, I'm holding out for the Razr HD weather it's 245 or 299. I've been waiting on my upgrade for almost a year now and I've been looking at this Razr HD since it first showed up. To be frank, I'm just not impressed with Samsung's new UI (while Moto's 4.0.4 looks stocky and clean with no gimmicky nature theme) nor do I like seeing all these drop test results with that screen. I have never liked the feel of a 'bendy' plastic handset body either.

I know Verizon is well known to set high price tags on their Droid lines. But I will eat my hat if they do it this time. It would be suicide if they did a it that way.
Just my thoughts.