First, I've never said I want him to be wrong, and I'm not doubting his reputation, so take it is easy. I actually want him to be right becuase I want to replace my Incredible and wasn't happy with the Fascinate or X that I owned briefly.
I've been on this forum for a year and owned the OG the day before it officially came out and bought it at Walmart. I've also been a member at Howardforums since 2001, so yes, I've been around and seen a lot of phone releases. It's because of my past experiences, which there have been many, that leads me to believe this won't be happening soon.
Too many people, and it seems including you, aren't looking at this rationally. New phone releases have leaks, documents, verification processes, FCC filings, people who loose the prototypes at bars, post pics from reps who have the phone, etc. Where is any of that evidence? There isn't any.
I was around for the original Incredible release on Androidforums. People had confirmed with reps that it would be announced at the same time the EVO was, and guess what, it wasn't announced. The boards got ugly because so many people wanted that phone to come out, and when it didn't people went crazy. I think the people here are different, but because of posts like yours, accusing those of us who haven't drank the kool-aid of not wanting the phone to come out soon is stupid and derisive. Some of us here seem to be based more in reality than others.