The only thing making me doubt a late July or early August release date for the Bionic is the lack of clear specs 2 weeks before it is supposed to be available. If it is due out in two weeks I'd think we'd know. This makes late Aug or early Sept seem possible .
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The only info from people who would know says late Aug or early Sept. (Actually, it was stated as "Bionic release 2 months after Droid 3 release")
I have never seen anything but speculation pointing to an earlier release than late Aug or early Sept.
That said, I hope it is sooner and there have been a few things that make me think it could be sooner, but I still would not get my hopes up for seeing Bionic much before September.